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ADDITIONAL FOOTBALL !!!!!
Let’s talk about what will undoubtedly be a very confusing week in the NFL.
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Indianapolis Colts (-15; -1125) against Jacksonville Jaguars (+700)
Betting trends:
2021 Jaguars home record: 1-6
Jaguars 2021 home record when underdogs: 1-6
2021 Jaguars ATS Record: 4-12
Jaguars ATS record 2021 when the underdogs: 4-10
2021 Colts road record: 5-2
2021 Colts road record as favorites: 1-0
Colts ATS Record 2021: 10-6
Colts 2021 ATS record as favorites: 4-3
This game should be a blast, but gained relevance after the Colts’ loss to the Raiders in Week 17. The Colts just need to win this game to qualify for the playoffs, but to be fair, that doesn’t. should never have come to this. . Now I’m sure you’ve seen all of the “trends” that say the Colts Fought against the Jaguars on the road, losing five in a row. Like, come on now, give me a break. People are going to come up with the dumbest shit and try to use it as a benefit. Do I care what the 2016 Colts couldn’t beat the Jaguars in London? Uh no ? I care what the 2021-2022 Colts can do in THIS game here. These past results where 99% of the players in this game are not involved mean nothing to me.
Now, I would be remiss if I did not mention that I HAD a “Colts miss the playoffs†ticket that I placed during the preseason when Carson Wentz ($ 5,800) was not a lock to start the season under center. I thought it was dead before week 17, but there is a slight heartbeat at this point. So personally I wouldn’t be sorry if the Jaguars somehow came away with a win. But let’s be honest, it’s unlikely. The Jags were rotten at home and lost games by almost two touchdowns on average, down -13.7 points. Then of course they must try to stop Jonathan Taylor ($ 9,300). Opposing running backs are averaging just over 4 YPC and 99 yards per game. Taylor is second in the league in yards after contact, averaging 3.83 per attempt and a total of 1,213. For reference, those 1,213 yards after contact are more than ANY running back in the league. TOTAL. Absurd. Joe Mixon has the second-highest rushing yardage at 1,205
Best DraftKings Sports Bets Projected total
Seattle Seahawks (+215) against Arizona Cardinals (-6.5; -265) Over / Under: 48
Betting trends:
2021 Cardinals home record: 3-4
Home record for the 2021 Cardinals as favorites: 3-4
2021 Cardinals Record Over / Under: 7-9
Cardinals 2021 Over / Under record as favorites: 4-6
2021 Seahawks road record: 3-5
Seahawks road record 2021 as underdogs: 1-3
2021 Seahawks Record Over / Under: 5-10-1
Seahawks 2021 over / under record as underdogs: 1-5-1
It’s one of the most defining games of the week, despite having one of the worst games of this game. We’ve got a ton of really low totals this week for an obvious reason, but this one is by far the biggest. The Seahawks have been one of the worst teams to have succeeded throughout the season, but at least recently they have done so in four of their last five games and have averaged 29.6 points over the course of this period. Can this continue in the last week against the Cardinals?
The Cardinals have been the offense you need to worry about lately. In three games without DeAndre Hopkins, they have averaged just 17.7 points per game, which is a steep drop from the 26.2 point average for the season. It might be just the game to help point the ship in the right direction again, as this Seahawks defense goes a long way. While they’ve scored at such a high pace, they’ve also allowed an average of 22 points per game over the last five. This secondary is ripe for pick, as they’ve given up the 9th most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers and nine total TDs to opposing tight ends. Zach Ertz ($ 5,300) was one of the biggest recipients without Hopkins, shooting 33 targets, including four in the red zone, through three games without him. I think this game exceeds the biggest total on the slate.
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This section will showcase some of the best and worst teams against the spread and with the over / under.
Teams against spread:
Top ATS Teams
| Team | Registration | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | Registration | ATS +/- |
| Dallas Cowboys | 12-4 | 5.1 |
| Green Bay Packers | 12-4 | 1.3 |
| New England Patriots | 10-6 | 7.5 |
| Tennessee Titans | 10-6 | 3.6 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 10-6 | 2.4 |
The worst ATS teams
| Team | Registration | ATS +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | Registration | ATS +/- |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-12 | -7.6 |
| Carolina Panthers | 5-11 | -2.8 |
| Chicago Bear | 6-10 | -0.6 |
| New York Jets | 6-10 | -4.3 |
| New York Giants | 6-10 | -2.5 |
Plus / minus team records:
Best team on records
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
| New York Jets | 10-6 | 4.4 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 10-6 | 1.4 |
| The Los Angeles Rams | 8-7-1 | -0.8 |
| Bison tickets | 8-8 | -1.8 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8-8 | 0.4 |
Worst team on records
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
|---|---|---|
| Team | No more recording | Total +/- |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5-11 | -3.8 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5-10-1 | -3.3 |
| New York Giants | 5-10-1 | -4.5 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6-10 | -2.1 |
| Saints of New Orleans | 6-10 | -2.8 |
Quarterback to build around
Josh Allen, Bison tickets vs. New York Jets, $ 8,100 – Allen is the most expensive QB on the slate, but he’s my best option to get started. The story in recent times has been its precipitous rise, which has been fully exposed, especially in recent weeks. Since the 14-10 loss to the Patriots in Week 13, Allen has run the ball a total of 42 times in four games since for a whopping 278 yards and three touchdowns. Three of those games featured double-digit runs and all saw him averaging 5.4 yards or better. Now he’s up against a Jets team that can’t stop the race and a lot at stake for the Bills. As a double-digit favorite, Allen is expected to provide enough, even with that $ 8,100 salary. In the air in Week 10 against them, Allen was 21-28 for 366 yards and two touchdowns.
Wide receiver to pair it with
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets, $ 7,800 – Diggs has a few contract incentives up for grabs in Week 18. One of them seems out of reach, as he can earn a bonus if he goes over 1375 receiving yards. He would need 232 to get past that number and while it’s not totally out of the realm of possibility, it seems out of reach. He knocks on the door of 100 receptions, of which he needs six. That’ll definitely be a factor in where the ball goes on Sunday, so Diggs is the pick here (as he usually is anyway). Diggs dismantled that secondary in Week 10, recording 162 yards on eight catches and a touchdown for 33.2 DKFP. He particularly burned CB Brandin Echols cover, making two catches on three targets for 63 yards, one of them being his reception from 57 yards.
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